Week of Mon Oct 12 to Sun Oct 18, 2026.
The Fractured Archive opens Tue Oct 20, 11:00 UTC. In the last full week before release, several popular raid bets fell while a few quieter items rose. Week start and high use 6h average prices; Sunday is the spot range from about 9:02 AM ET.
Not financial advice. Not affiliated with Jagex.
Weekly movers
| Item | Mon Oct 12 | Week high | Sun Oct 18 spot | Week change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toxic blowpipe (empty) | 10.23M | 12.16M | 11.99M–12.13M | +17.9% |
| Prayer regeneration potion(4) | 67.6k | 74.9k | 75.3k–76.0k | +11.9% |
| Crimson kisten | 76.14M | 77.83M | 66.68M–67.00M | -12.2% |
| Scythe of Vitur (uncharged) | 1.227B | 1.227B | 1.160B–1.165B | -5.2% |
| Elemental amulet | 1.79M | 1.79M | 1.31M–1.44M | -23.1% |
Week in flows
Raid calls took hits
Crimson kisten and Elemental amulet both lost ground through the week. The Kisten bet was specific: it could suit a crush-focused raid. The price moved the other way. Elemental amulet fell even further, while Eye of Ayak and Soulflame horn also ended lower.
- Crimson kisten: -12.2% for the week; Sunday spot 66.68M–67.00M.
- Elemental amulet: -23.1%; Sunday spot 1.31M–1.44M.
- Eye of Ayak: -9.6%; Sunday spot 41.55M–42.33M.
- Soulflame horn: -6.6%; Sunday spot 3.58M–3.70M.
Chart: Crimson kisten, Sunday spot 66.68M–67.00M.
The quiet winners kept climbing
The blowpipe rose despite a weekend question about whether the new crossbows would end its role. Prayer regeneration potions also finished higher after a Monday post made the case for them as a barrel supply.
- Toxic blowpipe (empty) rose +17.9%; Sunday spot 11.99M–12.13M.
- Prayer regeneration potion(4) rose +11.9%; Sunday spot 75.3k–76.0k.
- Twinflame staff rose +9.1%; Sunday spot 12.72M–13.00M.
- Chugging barrel (disassembled) rose +7.8%; Sunday spot 11.11M–11.40M.
Chart: Toxic blowpipe (empty), Sunday spot 11.99M–12.13M.
Chart: Prayer regeneration potion(4), Sunday spot 75.3k–76.0k.
Big gear eased into release week
Most of the biggest items finished below Monday’s 6h average. That could fit players selling expensive gear to fund raid bets, or selling ahead of the release. It is only a read; the weekly prices do not prove why they moved. Harmonised orb bounced midweek, then slipped back by Sunday.
- Scythe of Vitur (uncharged) fell -5.2%, from 1.227B to Sunday’s 1.160B–1.165B spot.
- Zaryte crossbow fell -4.4%; Kodai wand fell -4.9%; Elysian spirit shield fell -2.4%.
- Twisted bow fell -0.7%. A weekend thread asked whether to sell before Raids 4; so far the price barely moved.
- Harmonised orb was 552–560M in Saturday’s midweek spot notes, after a 528–536M Tuesday midweek spot. Sunday spot was 533.00M–537.88M.
Chart: Scythe of Vitur (uncharged), Sunday spot 1.160B–1.165B.
Bets & consensus
| Call | Verdict | What happened |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson kisten could suit a crush raid | wrong so far | Kisten fell -12.2% on the week to 66.68M–67.00M Sunday spot. |
| Prayer regeneration potions are a barrel supply | early | The potion rose +11.9% to 75.3k–76.0k Sunday spot; the disassembled barrel rose +7.8% to 11.11M–11.40M. |
| Blowpipe may lose ground to crossbows | wrong so far | Blowpipe rose +17.9% to 11.99M–12.13M Sunday spot. |
| Sell twisted bow before Raids 4 | narrative-only | Twisted bow was down -0.7% for the week, at 1.337B–1.340B Sunday spot. |
News and catalysts
- More Gathering Efficiencies changed Runite Golem mining. Runite ore stayed flat this week, so the update did not reprice a basket.
- Quest Month - Rewards Poll Blog proposed a tradeable early-game ranged amulet. The poll is pending; no basket repriced.
- Community Spotlight: 10Boot had no market angle.
- Jagex Accounts: Migration Begins Nov 17 says legacy accounts must upgrade by Nov 17 to log in. Any bot-supply effect would come later; bonds, rune ore, and Zulrah’s scales did not react this week.
- None of the official items repriced a basket this week. The Fractured Archive opens Tue Oct 20 at 11:00 UTC (7:00 AM ET).
Watchlist for next week
- Toxic blowpipe (empty): watch whether the rise holds after the crossbow debate. Invalidation: below 10.09M, the 6h week low.
- Crimson kisten: it could reprice if raid use shows up in play, but the week closed lower. Invalidation: below 66.65M, the 6h week low.
- Harmonised orb: watch for a hold after the midweek bounce. Invalidation: below 528.28M, the 6h week low.
Keep the live prices close with the QuantScapers plugin, browse the market, and see the Raids 4 items to watch.