Old School RuneScape · The Fractured Archive
Raids 4: The Fractured Archive Items to Watch
Launches Tuesday, Oct 20, 2026
Not financial advice. These are community calls collected on October 9, 2026 from Reddit and X.
Community speculation
Tradeable items to watch
Rise, Fall, and Mixed describe the balance of community mentions. They are not price forecasts.
Scythe of Vitur (uncharged)
Current price: -24h change: -
- Rise mentions
- 14
- Fall mentions
- 29
- Other
- 37
- Total mentions
- 83
- Upvotes
- 729
Why some expect a rise
Some expect it to stay essential as a strong second-best weapon for early raid runs.
Example supporting viewWhy others expect a fall
Others expect the new megarare to take demand away and push Scythe lower after release.
Example opposing viewInquisitor's armour set
Current price: -24h change: -
- Rise mentions
- 18
- Fall mentions
- 6
- Other
- 11
- Total mentions
- 35
- Upvotes
- 429
Why some expect a rise
Crush-focused raid demand could lift the set, with some expecting it to challenge top-tier gear.
Example supporting viewWhy others expect a fall
Skeptics expect holders to sell once the raid meta settles, especially after its recent run-up.
Example opposing viewAvernic defender hilt
Current price: -24h change: -
- Rise mentions
- 13
- Fall mentions
- 4
- Other
- 11
- Total mentions
- 29
- Upvotes
- 157
Why some expect a rise
A melee-heavy raid could increase demand for strong melee setups, while limited supply may magnify moves.
Example supporting viewWhy others expect a fall
Some think a competing shield reward could weaken Avernic demand or add pressure from other raid-linked items.
Example opposing viewJusticiar armour set
Current price: -24h change: -
- Rise mentions
- 6
- Fall mentions
- 3
- Other
- 11
- Total mentions
- 20
- Upvotes
- 291
Why some expect a rise
Some see it as useful defensive gear while teams learn the raid mechanics before switching to damage setups.
Example supporting viewWhy others expect a fall
Others expect players to sell after short-term use, since the rewards do not confirm lasting raid demand.
Example opposing viewTwisted bow
Current price: -24h change: -
- Rise mentions
- 12
- Fall mentions
- 7
- Other
- 12
- Total mentions
- 32
- Upvotes
- 74
Why some expect a rise
Buyers point to reduced Chambers of Xeric activity and its lack of direct overlap with the new melee weapons.
Example supporting viewWhy others expect a fall
Others think a melee and crush-heavy raid will redirect demand and keep sellers ahead of buyers.
Example opposing viewInquisitor's mace
Current price: -24h change: -
- Rise mentions
- 3
- Fall mentions
- 8
- Other
- 12
- Total mentions
- 24
- Upvotes
- 185
Why some expect a rise
The mace could be part of a strong melee setup, and some see more use if it proves best in slot.
Example supporting viewWhy others expect a fall
Others expect its price to fall as raid buyers exit or the new crush megarare competes for the same role.
Example opposing viewHarmonised orb
Current price: -24h change: -
- Rise mentions
- 11
- Fall mentions
- 8
- Other
- 3
- Total mentions
- 22
- Upvotes
- 212
Why some expect a rise
Low supply and a possible best-in-slot role could keep demand rising alongside other high-end magic gear.
Example supporting viewWhy others expect a fall
Skeptics expect a correction once players settle the meta or sell before release after the recent rise.
Example opposing viewTormented synapse
Current price: -24h change: -
- Rise mentions
- 6
- Fall mentions
- 7
- Other
- 8
- Total mentions
- 21
- Upvotes
- 103
Why some expect a rise
Raid demon encounters could support demand, and some expect players to buy ahead of release.
Example supporting viewWhy others expect a fall
Others say only one boss is weak to demonbane and doubt the raid will lift synapse prices.
Example opposing viewSoulreaper axe
Current price: -24h change: -
- Rise mentions
- 12
- Fall mentions
- 1
- Other
- 7
- Total mentions
- 20
- Upvotes
- 119
Why some expect a rise
Some expect the axe to serve as a second-best melee weapon before players obtain the raid megarare.
Example supporting viewWhy others expect a fall
If the megarare uses crush, some expect it to reduce demand for the axe.
Example opposing viewGuthixian temple teleport
Current price: -24h change: -
- Rise mentions
- 13
- Fall mentions
- 5
- Other
- 5
- Total mentions
- 23
- Upvotes
- 92
Why some expect a rise
Players may still need these scrolls to reach the raid before unlocking permanent access, supporting release-week demand.
Example supporting viewWhy others expect a fall
A built-in raid teleport could replace the scrolls, and some expect a common supply to pressure demand.
Example opposing viewMore items mentioned
Unreleased rewards
These notes reflect speculation about rewards that are not tradeable items yet. No prices are listed.
- Obligator: Posts weigh strong early demand against concern that a narrow use could limit lasting interest.
- Ascension crossbows: Posts expect a powerful weapon, but its eventual rarity and effect on ammunition remain open questions.
- Rondache: Some expect narrow use and limited value; others say the extra risk of carrying it could bring an advantage in PvP.
- Zeal: Posts disagree over how common it will be and whether it will remain expensive after release.
- Zorya's Tome: Some like its special attack, while others expect a niche role and limited demand.
How the calls are grouped
Reddit posts and comments were collected from January 20 to October 9, 2026, and X was also scanned. A call is Rise or Fall when one side has at least twice as many mentions as the other; otherwise it is Mixed. The ranking counts serious mentions and gives upvotes a smaller, logarithmic weight.
Raids 4 questions
When does Raids 4 come out in OSRS?
Jagex has announced The Fractured Archive for Tuesday, October 20, 2026.
What are the Raids 4 rewards?
Jagex's reward list includes the Obligator, Ascension crossbows, Zorya's Tome, Rondache, Zeal, Elemental fragments, Archivist's Folio, and Ascension shards. In the lock-in poll, Yes votes ranged from 80.7% for Rondache to 90.4% for Zorya's Tome.
Confirmed raid details
Jagex announced the release for Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Entry requires While Guthix Sleeps. Groups can have 2 to 8 players, with 3 to 5 recommended; solo play scales as a group of 2. The raid has 8 encounters, with 5 in each run. Jagex event details and the OSRS Wiki raid guide cover the format.
The Rewards Lock-in Poll ran from August 3 to August 10, 2026, with 49,287 voters. Its Yes results were:
- Elemental fragmentsYes 85.8%
- RondacheYes 80.7%
- Zorya's TomeYes 90.4%
- ZealYes 86.1%
- Ascension crossbowsYes 85.6%
- Obligator (the Breaker)Yes 88.4%
Jagex's rewards poll blog describes the proposals.